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There are two basic ways of analyzing
the forex market
Fundamental
analysis and Technical Analysis
FUNDAMENTAL
ANALYSIS
If you have been wondering how news (either good news
or bad news) could translate to big profit or big loss within a
short period, then when you understand the concept of fundamental
analysis in the forex market, you could figure that out.
News are very important in our lives. We all react to
news differently. When the news are fresh, the reaction could be
high, when old, we could just wave it out. I know of a man, upon
receiving the news about his stolen vehicle, his blood pressure
increased, being hypertensive, he died due to this. Remember, the
forex market replicates the actions and inactions of we human being.
There are global news that are being released from time to time with
regards to the currency pairs you may wish to trade. The fundamental
analysis deals with the impact of this news, either favourably or
other wise within a short period of time
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical analysis is another way of analyzing the
forex market. As it names implies, these are techniques by which you
analyze the market. It involves the use of indicators which suggest
where the market is heading to. There are lot of these technical
indicators that are freely available based on your brokers platform.
Some of these indicators are as old as Methuselah. What we have
discovered is that they work, when properly when properly applied.
It is not possible for you to say you are a technical
analyst while you totally ignore the fundamental news that could
affect your indicators performance when they are being released.
That is why we say in the market that the fundamental news sometimes
override your technical analysis.
These indicators measures the performance of the
market reaction. They are classified as trend measuring indicators,
the oscillators, some measures the volumes of the market. Below are
lists of some good numbers of them.
(1) Commodity Channel Index (2) Bollinger Band
(3) Average directional Index (4) Moving average
(5)Parabolic Sar (6) Standard deviation (7) Candle
sticks pattern (8) Fibonacci retracement
Oscillators
1. MACD (Moving Average Convergence & Divergence)
(2) Stochastic Oscillators (3) Relative Strength Index (RSI)
(4) Average True range
(5) Bears Power (6) Bulls power (7) Momentum
Volumes
(1) On balance volume (2) Money Flow Index
(3) Money flow Index
It is not compulsory you use all of these indicators.
We have heard and read from a lot of books and 'trainers' that it is
advisable that you use just 2 or 3 of them. All these could be good.
However, what we advise is that since the motive of these indicators
is to suggest the direction of the market, we would advise that you
use good combination of them, as many as possible that will suggest
a convincing direction of the market and will enable you to form a
good decision of the market.
With our experience of training, we do teach a good
numbers of these indicators, in our trading, sometimes we may have
to switch over the combination of these indicators, sometimes we use
just a few, sometimes we may have to add more so as to form an
unbiased opinion of the market.
I like the forex trading market for one unique
purpose. Upon learning of the art of the trading, you will have to
sit down and work on your trading experience, practicals and decide
what really works for you, - trading strategy. It could be possible
that what really works for you may not really work for another
person under same condition.
For example, I started with fundamental analysis and
move on to technical analysis which I found more interesting. After
training a student of ours, he told me of his wonderful experience
on fundamental analysis with proof, I was surprised to see the
result. There are lot of things that determines your trading
success. Your personality, your traits, your passion, your
psychology, your thinking etc. All these may not be the same in
every individual.
Forex trading market is very unique and dynamic. That
is why you have to be dynamic too as a trader.
There are some of these resource website which you
can refer to in the course of your technical analysis for some day
to day of the forex market analysis. These are:
www.alpari.co.uk
www.actionforex.com
What we should understand is that what happens in the
forex market is just a graphical reaction of the force of demand and
supply as a result of buying and selling of these currencies by you
and me. Its not just a kind of picture from the moon. That is why
the market is purely a human being. Having tried some Forex
trading robots in the past, we have been able to form a consensual
opinion to this market that the best result in this market is the
overall understanding of the market with the application of relevant
rules and regulations. Forex market is not a get-rich-quickly place.
It takes the right discipline, dedication, patience and obedience to
rules to become a successful forex trader.
Above all, there are some basic patterns
that a trader should watch out for. In the above graphical chart, we
see the anatomy of market. At various points of this price movement,
there are signals my these indicators showing the next move by the
pattern of the candle sticks. A good trader should be able to follow
these chart pattern and take necessary action as at when necessary.
I love the combination of Fibonacci retracement tool. It is one of
the best tool in the currency market. Reason being that is assist,
in conjunction with other indicators to suggest your entry level,
stop level and take profit level of the market. These are the major
element of good trading strategies as you watch out for the candle
and chart formations and pattern.
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